Will building materials become cheaper in 2022? What will happen to prices (forecast from builders)

We all remember how at the beginning of the year building materials jumped sharply in price. First, the price of wood went up, and then metal, insulation, PVC products and many others.

By the end of summer, aerated concrete also rose in price. As a result of this rise in price, the cost of construction increased.

Many have postponed their plans for next year. Someone began to buy and build as soon as possible, despite the high prices. Others in the Internet communities, began to urge everyone not to buy anything, so that the hype disappears and manufacturers reduce the price.

We will try to predict prices in the future.

What will happen to prices for building materials in the new 2022?

Prices have declined slightly by the end of November 2021. Timber has become cheaper (compared to summer) by 15%. OSB cost almost 2 times cheaper. The metal fell in price by 23%.

Aerated concrete showed itself from the other side. It did not become cheaper, but rose in price (in comparison with the beginning of the year) by 2 times. There is still a deficit.

It's just that it is not profitable for our manufacturers to sell materials in Russia, so they send most of them abroad. By the way, there is also a problem abroad with building materials. There they also rose in price by 5-6 times due to the suspension of production and high demand.

In 2022, the market will bounce back, but the price level that was at the beginning of 2021 will not return.

The deficit of building materials will remain at the same level. The reason for the increase in construction prices is the decrease in the number of migrants and the demand for professional construction personnel. This is followed by an increase in wages.

After the fall of metal, timber are trying to go up again in price.

Polymers are also not inferior. The dynamics of the increase in polymer prices is only increasing.

The rise in gas prices played an important role. Many businesses are shutting down or cutting back on production.

The forecast from experienced builders is as follows: building materials will not get cheaper. I would like to think differently, but the fact remains. Materials will continue to grow. Someone says that from January there will be a 10% increase.

What do you think about this?